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Sunflower Seeds and Sunflower Oil Trading Summary, Analysis, and Forecast (Week 2, 2026)
Release time:2026-01-20      The number of clicks:125

01 Sunflower Seeds

Week 2 (January 5th - January 9th, 2025): Domestic sunflower seed prices remained relatively stable this week.  Specific prices for each region are as follows:

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Weekly Review:

This week, the domestic sunflower seed market operated steadily overall, with generally light trading volume. On the supply side, due to transportation restrictions, the volume of sunflower seeds arriving at ports was limited, resulting in a tight supply situation, which was positive for the sunflower seed market. On the demand side, the market was mainly driven by essential replenishment, with traders adopting a wait-and-see attitude and weak demand, which was negative for the sunflower seed market. During the same period, the market for sunflower kernels also saw relatively slow sales, with little price fluctuation.


It is expected that sunflower seed prices will remain stable in the short term (January-February). Overall port inventories are limited, and traders are cautious and adopting a wait-and-see approach, mainly due to the combined effects of import restrictions and weak demand. The New Year and Spring Festival holidays may accelerate sales, potentially leading to a supply shortage and a possible increase in sunflower seed prices.


02 Sunflower Oil

Week 2 (January 5th - January 9th, 2025): This week, the average domestic price of sunflower seed oil was 11,875 yuan/ton.  Specifically, the price of Grade 1 sunflower oil in Jiangsu was 12,400 yuan/ton; in Xinjiang, 11,300 yuan/ton; in Tianjin, 12,400 yuan/ton; and in Shanghai, 12,350 yuan/ton. Prices in other regions are as follows:

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Weekly Review:

This week, domestic sunflower seed oil prices remained relatively stable.  While sunflower seed oil is arriving at various ports, heavy snowfall has disrupted transportation, limiting domestic supply.  Port supplies remain tight, supporting the sunflower seed oil market. The domestic market for the three major edible oils is relatively stable, and sunflower seed oil prices are at a high level, leading to a noticeable substitution effect that limits the upward potential of sunflower seed oil prices. In terms of demand, the sunflower oil market is experiencing faster sales, which is positive for the sunflower seed oil market. International prices are trending upwards; on January 6th, 2026, the FOB price at Russian Black Sea ports was US$1250.00/ton, an increase of US$50/ton compared to last week.


In the short term, supported by rising international prices, domestic sunflower seed oil prices are likely to increase. The faster pace of domestic sales, coupled with a decrease in imports, and traders holding back on sales, along with the upward trend in international prices, suggests a tight supply and demand situation in the short term, supporting price increases.

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